Scientists now have the first definitive answer to what caused one of the largest bird die-offs ever recorded: starvation, brought on by shifts in ocean conditions linked to a changing climate.
“When we see these mass mortality events, that’s the ecosystem saying, in big neon letters, that something is wrong.”
In the fall of 2014, West Coast residents witnessed a strange, unprecedented ecological event. Tens of thousands of small seabird carcasses washed ashore on beaches from California to British Columbia.
A network of more than 800 citizen scientists responded as the birds, called Cassin’s auklets, turned up dead in droves along the coast. Beach walkers and local residents recorded the location and date of carcasses as they found them, entering the information into a real-time database that helped state, tribal, and federal wildlife experts track the mass mortality event as it unfolded.
“This paper is super important for the scientific community because it nails the causality of a major die-off, which is rare,” says senior author Julia Parrish, professor in the School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences at the University of Washington and executive director of the Coastal Observation and Seabird Survey Team (COASST), one of the citizen science groups that counted the carcasses.
“When we see these mass mortality events, that’s the ecosystem saying, in big neon letters, that something is wrong. This paper can be used as definitive proof of the impacts of a warming world, and it’s a not a pretty picture,” she says.
The new paper, which appears in Geophysical Research Letters, pinpoints starvation as the cause of death for between 250,000 and 500,000 Cassin’s auklets in late 2014 to early 2015.
The birds’ main source of prey, aquatic zooplankton known as krill and copepods, was found to be smaller and less abundant than in previous years, forcing the seabirds to eat less nutritious “junk food” instead of their usual nutrient- and energy-rich prey.
Cassin’s auklets are palm-sized, stocky seabirds known for their remarkable ability to fly underwater in search of food. They are a gregarious species that nest in colonies and migrate south along the coast in early fall, after breeding.
Warmer surface water temperatures off the Pacific coast—a phenomenon known as “the blob”—first occurred in the fall and winter of 2013, and persisted through 2014 and 2015. This event was the likely culprit for shifting the zooplankton “dinner table” toward less nutritious species, researchers say.
Energy-rich copepods thrive in colder water. When the massive marine heat wave spread along the coast, it swept in loads of smaller, less nutritious copepods typically found in warmer southern waters.
Through the summer of 2014, ocean circulation kept the blob at bay in the Pacific Northwest, creating a coastal wedge of cold water full of energy-rich food just off the coast of Oregon and Washington. But that refuge collapsed in mid-September when seasonal shifts in ocean circulation changed. As a result, Cassin’s auklets migrating south after breeding off the coast of British Columbia essentially lost their nearshore foraging habitat.
A glimpse of the future
This study is the first to document the direct link between marine heatwaves and marine bird mortality events, the authors write.
“A lot of the evidence points to there being a very tangible link in the warming of the Pacific to changes in ecosystem structure that ultimately led to seabird starvation,” says lead author Timothy Jones, a postdoctoral researcher in aquatic and fishery sciences.
The warm “blob” sat at the surface of the Pacific Ocean for more than three years. After the auklet die-off, four more mass mortality events involving seabirds took place, occurring farther north each time. Murres, puffins, and most recently short-tailed shearwaters and northern fulmars in the Arctic experienced a similar fate as the auklets—as far north as the Chukchi Sea.
“The Cassin’s auklets story is really the opener of a saga of multiple seabird die-offs that are unprecedented, as far as we know,” Jones says.
The story of the auklet die-off is likely to repeat for other species under climate change, Parrish says. Researchers will continue to draw upon and learn from this example.
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“This was a unique opportunity to have a window into the future,” she adds. “We are getting a sense of what the largescale ecosystem—the entire North Pacific up into the Bering and Chukchi seas—might look like in the future, and where we will have winners and losers and how we might see change. In that sense, it was a tremendous natural experiment.”
The efforts of hundreds of beach walkers—many of whom survey their local beach for seabird deaths each month—combined with databases and the knowledge of scientists across many fields cracked the mystery of the Cassin’s auklets with a level of precision that is hard to replicate, the authors say. Critical to their success was the ability to collaborate and share resources.
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“The big lesson here is you have to work together in the sandbox. No one on this author list has any hope of doing all that work by themselves,” Parrish says. “We had incredible luck in that citizen scientists were collecting for years the very data we needed to find the cause.”
The National Science Foundation and the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife funded the work.
Source: University of Washington