Nobel Prize winner’s theory tested in Baja California Sur

More than 9,000 small-scale fishers make their living on the waters off Baja California Sur. (Credit: Nan Palmero/Flickr)

In 2009, Elinor Ostrom won the Nobel Prize for economics. That same year she proposed a framework to integrate both the institutional and ecological dimensions of a pervasive global challenge: achieving sustainability.

Now researchers have put her social-ecological systems theory into practice in the Mexican state of Baja California Sur.

The result is a map of regional strengths and weaknesses that can help guide fishers, conservationists, and other decision-makers as they consider steps to preserve the peninsula’s vital coastal marine ecosystems.

The value of Ostrom’s framework is that it encourages researchers to consider both natural and human values, says Heather Leslie, assistant professor of environmental studies and biology at Brown University.

“Using this framework enabled us to integrate many different types of data related to coupled human-environment systems,” says Leslie, first author of the study that is published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. “We were able to be more comprehensive in our analysis than we would have if we had focused only on the data closest to our individual disciplines.”

For the study researchers gathered data on 13 social and ecological variables for each of 12 regions around Baja California Sur. They developed a profile of sustainability potential for each region along the four dimensions laid out in the framework: governance systems and actors (the social) and resource units and resource systems (the ecological).

What became clear is that each region’s profile is quite different, suggesting that the most effective policies for achieving sustainability will be ones tailored to shore up each area’s weaknesses without undermining its strengths.

Polar opposites

Take, for example, stories about the Pacific coast regions of Magadalena Bay and Todos Santos, illustrated by the researchers’ maps. If Baja California Sur is a leg, then Magdalena Bay is the knee and Todos Santos is the front of the ankle.

In Magdalena Bay, fisheries are diverse and productive. But the area is also crowded with fishers who use many different kinds of gear and don’t necessarily follow the same locally developed rules, Leslie says. While the ecological foundation for sustainability looks good there, the social dimensions are considerably less promising.

“Depending on which type of data one musters regarding the potential for sustainable fisheries, Magdalena Bay could be scored as either well-endowed or quite weak,” the researchers write.

Meanwhile in Todos Santos, local fishery management institutions are quite strong. There is considerable cooperation and compliance among fishers, based on social science surveys, but the nearshore ocean is less productive and yields fewer species than Magdalena Bay, just 150 miles north.

While the regions are not far apart geographically, they are polar opposites in their social and ecological profiles.

Fundamental trade-offs?

In Magdalena Bay, the most productive strategy might be to cultivate stronger local institutions, but in Todos Santos, maintaining local institutional strength and bolstering capacity in the water might make more sense. But in most cases, people have considerably less influence over ecosystem dynamics, Leslie says.

The fine-grained diversity of regional strengths and weaknesses apparent in the maps is borne out statistically. The researchers looked for correlations among the four dimensions across Baja California Sur and found few.

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The rarity of reliable relationships between strength in one dimension and strength in another was a surprise—and merits more scrutiny, because while it could reveal a shortcoming of the analysis—this is among the first attempts to apply the SES in a comparative, quantitative manner—it might instead reveal something more insidious: a fundamental difficulty for regions to be strong across the board.

“Does something like this represent fundamental trade-offs?” Leslie asks. “What we found suggests that. There is no place that does well in every dimension.”

Xavier Basurto of Duke University and Octavio Aburto-Oropeza of the University of California–San Diego are corresponding authors of the study.

The US National Science Foundation, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, Brown University’s Environmental Change Initiative, Voss Environmental Fellowship Program, the Walton Family Foundation, and the World Wildlife Fund Fuller Fellowship Program funded the work.

Source: Brown University