Google math predicts lung cancer’s path

USC (US) — A mathematical model like the one Google Search uses to rank webpages also offers insight into how lung cancer spreads.

The researchers used an algorithm similar to the Google PageRank, which predicts which websites people are most apt to visit, and to the Viterbi Algorithm for digital communication to analyze the spread patterns of lung cancer.

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Their findings could potentially impact clinical care by helping guide physicians to targeted treatment options designed to curtail the spread of lung cancer.

“This research demonstrates how similar the Internet is to a living organism,” says lead and corresponding author Professor Paul Newton of University of Southern California (USC).

“The same types of tools that help us understand the spread of information through the web can help us understand the spread of cancer through the human body.”

Employing a sophisticated system of mathematical equations known as a Markov chain model, the research team—guided by applied mathematicians—found that metastatic lung cancer does not progress in a single direction from primary tumor site to distant locations, which has been the traditional medical view.

Instead, they found that cancer cell movement around the body likely occurs in more than one direction at a time.

Sponges and spreaders

The researchers also learned that the first site to which the cells spread plays a key role in the progression of the disease. The study shows that some parts of the body serve as “sponges” that are relatively unlikely to further spread lung cancer cells to other areas of the body. The study identified other areas as “spreaders” for lung cancer cells.

As reported in Cancer Research, the study reveals that for lung cancer, the main spreaders are the adrenal gland and kidney, whereas the main sponges are the regional lymph nodes, liver, and bone.

The study applied the advanced math model to data from human autopsy reports of 163 lung cancer patients in the New England area, from 1914 to 1943. This time period was targeted because it predates the use of radiation and chemotherapy, providing researchers a clear view of how cancer progresses if left untreated.

Among the 163 patients, researchers charted the advancement patterns of 619 different metastases to 27 distinct body sites.

The findings could one day allow doctors to better target treatment. For example, if the cancer is found to have moved to a known spreader location, imaging tests, and interventions can be quickly considered for focused treatment before the cells may be more widely dispersed. Further study is needed in this area.

Keeping tabs on cancer’s movement in the body is vital to patient care. While a primary cancer tumor (confined to a single location) is often not fatal, a patient’s prognosis can worsen if the cancer metastasizes—that is, flakes off and travels to other parts of the body to form new tumors.

The study is part of a relatively new movement to involve physical sciences in oncology research. Mathematics probability models that interpret data from specific patient populations offer a new alternative to the established approach of relying on broader clinical trends to predict where, and how fast, cancer will spread.

In addition to Newton, senior contributing authors researchers from the USC Viterbi School of Engineering, Scripps Clinic, the UC San Diego Moores Cancer Center, Billings Clinic, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, and the Scripps Research Institute.

The National Cancer Institute and the Gates Millennium Fellowship Program of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation funded the study, which was conducted at the Scripps Physics Oncology Center.

Source: University of Southern California