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	<title>Comments on: Why H1N1 developed a resistance to Tamiflu</title>
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		<title>By: Roy Niles</title>
		<link>http://www.futurity.org/health-medicine/why-tamiflu-no-longer-fights-h1n1/comment-page-1/#comment-13199</link>
		<dc:creator>Roy Niles</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jun 2010 17:56:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://futurity.org/?p=13009#comment-13199</guid>
		<description>Jesse, there are those that disagree and feel that trial and error is a learning process wherein these organisms discover ways to spot and take advantage of these otherwise random events - that natural selection has its calculative aspects that factor in the organism&#039;s past experience.  So if I&#039;m wrong about the premise of my question, I nevertheless must ask it to find out.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jesse, there are those that disagree and feel that trial and error is a learning process wherein these organisms discover ways to spot and take advantage of these otherwise random events &#8211; that natural selection has its calculative aspects that factor in the organism&#8217;s past experience.  So if I&#8217;m wrong about the premise of my question, I nevertheless must ask it to find out.</p>
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		<title>By: Jesse Bloom</title>
		<link>http://www.futurity.org/health-medicine/why-tamiflu-no-longer-fights-h1n1/comment-page-1/#comment-13197</link>
		<dc:creator>Jesse Bloom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jun 2010 16:58:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://futurity.org/?p=13009#comment-13197</guid>
		<description>Hi Roy,

The viral mutations are a random process, made by errors when the virus is copying its genes.  So there is no &quot;intent&quot; in the mutations that the virus makes.  Once a mutation occurs, whether it spreads in the population (like the H274Y drug resistance mutation did) or simply dies out is due to a combination of selection by evolution and random processes.  In general, selection will favor a mutation that helps the virus replicate and spread, and disfavor a mutation that is bad for virus replication or spread.  But there is also a random component -- for example, a mutation might help the virus replicate, but due to random chance the virus with that mutation might fail to spread for some other reason.  So evolution is a bit like trial and error on the part of the virus, although technically the virus is not intentionally &quot;trying&quot; to do any of this -- it just happens due to random mutations and then natural selection.

--Jesse</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Roy,</p>
<p>The viral mutations are a random process, made by errors when the virus is copying its genes.  So there is no &#8220;intent&#8221; in the mutations that the virus makes.  Once a mutation occurs, whether it spreads in the population (like the H274Y drug resistance mutation did) or simply dies out is due to a combination of selection by evolution and random processes.  In general, selection will favor a mutation that helps the virus replicate and spread, and disfavor a mutation that is bad for virus replication or spread.  But there is also a random component &#8212; for example, a mutation might help the virus replicate, but due to random chance the virus with that mutation might fail to spread for some other reason.  So evolution is a bit like trial and error on the part of the virus, although technically the virus is not intentionally &#8220;trying&#8221; to do any of this &#8212; it just happens due to random mutations and then natural selection.</p>
<p>&#8211;Jesse</p>
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		<title>By: Roy Niles</title>
		<link>http://www.futurity.org/health-medicine/why-tamiflu-no-longer-fights-h1n1/comment-page-1/#comment-13193</link>
		<dc:creator>Roy Niles</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jun 2010 16:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://futurity.org/?p=13009#comment-13193</guid>
		<description>Do these viruses use a form of trial and error or do they just run through a set of preselected options until one happens to work?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Do these viruses use a form of trial and error or do they just run through a set of preselected options until one happens to work?</p>
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